Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STBK +17 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -5.0 (+22.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -4.1 (+21.1) | 147.3 (-6.3) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -1.2 (+18.2) | 149.2 (-8.2) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -2.4 (+19.4) | 151.5 (-10.5) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -1.8 (+18.8) | 149.5 (-8.5) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | HOF 67 – 58 STBK |
| Jan 16, 2026 | STBK 76 – 71 HOF |
| Feb 28, 2025 | STBK 59 – 56 HOF |
| Feb 8, 2025 | STBK 80 – 75 HOF |
| Mar 12, 2024 | STBK 63 – 59 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 5-9 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#246) | 5.5 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.13 (#179) | 0.51 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#180) | 0.91 (#120) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#209) | 0.537 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 56.9% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 21.3% |
| FT Rate | 15.2% | 13.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.4% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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