Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +13 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | SBU -11.6 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.6 (+25.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -13.3 (-0.3) | 136.9 (+18.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -10.0 (+3.0) | 137.3 (+17.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -10.3 (+2.7) | 138.1 (+16.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -10.9 (+2.1) | 137.4 (+17.6) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 12-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-2 | 10-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#99) | -2.4 (#223) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.95 (#56) | -0.17 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#60) | -0.86 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#88) | 0.470 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.