Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +6 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -10.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.6 (-15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -7.9 (-1.9) | 152.5 (-8.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -8.9 (-2.9) | 156.1 (-12.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -9.1 (-3.1) | 153.6 (-9.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -9.7 (-3.7) | 151.6 (-7.6) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | RGV 64 – 55 AMCC |
| Jan 3, 2026 | AMCC 63 – 59 RGV |
| Feb 1, 2025 | RGV 83 – 73 AMCC |
| Jan 11, 2025 | AMCC 79 – 74 RGV |
| Dec 16, 2023 | AMCC 86 – 76 RGV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 3-15 |
| Home | 9-4 | 4-9 |
| Away | 7-6 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 79.7 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#170) | -5.1 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.05 (#46) | 0.20 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.74 (#52) | 0.58 (#139) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#102) | 0.568 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | RGV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 24.4% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 14.2 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 32.3% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 56.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.8% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 33.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.