Betting Lines
| Spread | DART -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DART win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +3 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | DART -8.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (-1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DART -6.3 (-9.3) | 144.0 (-3.0) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DART -6.7 (-9.7) | 143.2 (-2.2) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DART -5.9 (-8.9) | 142.2 (-1.2) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DART -6.3 (-9.3) | 142.4 (-1.4) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2022 | QUIN 81 – 72 DART |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DART | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 7-13 |
| Home | 5-5 | 8-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#218) | -6.1 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#151) | -1.11 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.24 (#166) | -0.95 (#240) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#134) | 0.419 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DART | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.7% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 20.4% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 11.3% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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