Funky Claude was running in and out / pulling kids out the ground "Smoke On the Water" - Deep Purple
M&T Bank Arena · November 16, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -8.5 Home covered
O/U 145.5 Over
Money QUIN -400 / DART +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total QUIN win
Actual QUIN +9 153 Won
Massey QUIN -25.0 (-16.0) — —
Massey Totals — 160.4 (-7.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 100% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Baseline ML QUIN -16.0 (-7.0) 155.8 (-2.8) 88% ✓
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -16.2 (-7.2) 154.8 (-1.8) 89% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -16.2 (-7.2) 154.8 (-1.8) 89% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 9, 2021 QUIN 72 – 69 DART

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings QUIN DART
Overall 20-12 10-18
Conference 11-9 6-8
Home 9-4 7-5
Away 9-6 3-11
Neutral 2-2 0-2
Last 5 3-0 0-2
Streak L1 W1
Avg Pts For 72.5 68.9
Avg Pts Against 69.8 74.4
Massey 5.3 (#73) -9.7 (#332)
Bradley-Terry 3.19 (#2) -1.95 (#333)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.26 (#4) -2.80 (#333)
RPI 0.472 (#205) 0.062 (#342)
Shooting & Four Factors QUIN DART
FG% 46.2% 44.6%
3PT% 40.5% 40.4%
REB / G 40.7 30.0
OREB / G 13.7 7.5
AST / TO 1.15 0.86
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.3% 54.0%
TOV% 17.8% 23.1%
ORB% 34.7% 21.7%
FT Rate 22.3% 20.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.6% 60.4%
Opp TOV% 17.4% 16.2%
DRB% 67.5% 71.4%
Opp FT Rate 26.2% 26.7%

Game Analysis

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