Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +7 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -21.5 (-14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -16.0 (-9.0) | 145.5 (+15.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -14.8 (-7.8) | 145.0 (+16.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -17.9 (-10.9) | 144.1 (+16.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -17.3 (-10.3) | 146.0 (+15.0) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2022 | YSU 76 – 65 CMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 12-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-7 | 2-9 |
| Away | 6-8 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#162) | -16.2 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#253) | -2.17 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#261) | -3.29 (#324) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#289) | 0.444 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 19.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 15.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 57.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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