You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues
McGuirk Arena · December 22, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread YSU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 152.5 Under
Money CMU +250 / YSU -250
Model Predictions
Spread Total CMU win
Actual YSU +11 141 Lost
Massey YSU -3.9 (-7.1) — —
Massey Totals — 157.8 (-16.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 14% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 9% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML YSU -3.6 (-7.4) 154.3 (-13.3) 33% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ YSU -4.7 (-6.3) 151.2 (-10.2) 33% ✓
Baseline Plus ML YSU -2.8 (-8.2) 152.2 (-11.2) 34% ✓
Baseline ML YSU -3.4 (-7.6) 154.3 (-13.3) 38% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 9, 2021 YSU 84 – 77 CMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CMU YSU
Overall 10-21 24-10
Conference 5-13 15-5
Home 6-8 14-3
Away 3-12 9-6
Neutral 1-1 1-1
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L5 L2
Avg Pts For 64.7 80.4
Avg Pts Against 74.0 72.9
Massey -4.4 (#253) 4.3 (#99)
Bradley-Terry -2.34 (#337) 0.32 (#151)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.61 (#330) 0.68 (#127)
RPI 0.357 (#356) 0.504 (#174)
Shooting & Four Factors CMU YSU
FG% 40.0% 48.1%
3PT% 29.4% 37.8%
REB / G 35.1 36.4
OREB / G 10.7 11.6
AST / TO 0.84 0.93
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.3% 54.1%
TOV% 20.6% 18.8%
ORB% 28.2% 33.8%
FT Rate 22.6% 23.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 52.2%
Opp TOV% 21.8% 18.7%
DRB% 66.7% 69.9%
Opp FT Rate 25.7% 17.6%

Game Analysis

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