Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -19.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +8 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | DRKE -20.7 (+12.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.3 (+11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -12.3 (+4.3) | 137.0 (+11.0) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -13.5 (+5.5) | 137.1 (+10.9) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -10.4 (+2.4) | 137.9 (+10.1) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -13.3 (+5.3) | 139.1 (+8.9) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2022 | DRKE 78 – 65 OMA |
| Dec 4, 2020 | DRKE 87 – 66 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 13-5 |
| Home | 5-9 | 14-3 |
| Away | 0-15 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-6 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.4 | 67.0 |
| Massey | -17.2 (#354) | 8.2 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.48 (#346) | 0.20 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.55 (#353) | 0.57 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.376 (#331) | 0.517 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.6% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.2% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.1% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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