Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | DRKE -2500 OMA +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +13 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -17.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -14.1 (-1.1) | 139.5 (+3.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -17.0 (-4.0) | 140.3 (+2.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -13.4 (-0.4) | 139.1 (+3.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -13.6 (-0.6) | 138.4 (+4.6) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2021 | DRKE 78 – 70 OMA |
| Dec 4, 2020 | DRKE 87 – 66 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-1 | 5-7 |
| Away | 6-6 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#79) | -5.8 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#41) | -0.48 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.02 (#35) | -0.62 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.632 (#19) | 0.491 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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