Betting Lines
| Spread | DRKE -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | DRKE -475 OMA +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DRKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DRKE +21 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -22.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.2 (+12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -19.2 (+1.8) | 136.7 (+16.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DRKE -15.4 (+5.6) | 135.7 (+17.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DRKE -16.8 (+4.2) | 139.2 (+13.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DRKE -17.5 (+3.5) | 138.0 (+15.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2022 | DRKE 78 – 65 OMA |
| Dec 9, 2021 | DRKE 78 – 70 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DRKE | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-5 | 5-20 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 3-11 |
| Home | 14-1 | 1-5 |
| Away | 9-2 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 78.0 |
| Massey | 7.5 (#35) | -5.6 (#214) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#30) | -0.49 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#46) | -1.04 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#76) | 0.531 (#100) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DRKE | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 24.1% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.89 | 0.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 43.3% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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