Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARIZ +29 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -15.1 (+13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (+11.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -13.2 (+15.8) | 151.0 (+8.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -13.8 (+15.2) | 149.3 (+9.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -13.4 (+15.6) | 150.2 (+8.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -12.7 (+16.3) | 149.7 (+9.3) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARIZ | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 33-4 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 13-5 |
| Home | 17-0 | 14-1 |
| Away | 9-3 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.0 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 24.8 (#1) | 14.4 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.43 (#12) | 3.94 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.10 (#9) | 5.59 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.628 (#28) | 0.592 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARIZ | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.81 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 38.0% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 38.6% | 40.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 15.8% |
Game Analysis
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