Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +17 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | UNH -6.8 (+23.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNH -3.6 (+20.6) | 137.2 (-2.2) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNH -2.9 (+19.9) | 137.3 (-2.3) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNH -3.1 (+20.1) | 138.2 (-3.2) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNH -4.7 (+21.7) | 136.8 (-1.8) | 40% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | UNH 88 – 83 BRY |
| Jan 31, 2026 | BRY 92 – 84 UNH |
| Mar 4, 2025 | BRY 90 – 56 UNH |
| Jan 24, 2025 | BRY 95 – 76 UNH |
| Feb 9, 2024 | BRY 85 – 66 UNH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 8-7 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#304) | 3.2 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#262) | 0.54 (#135) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#247) | 0.82 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#256) | 0.542 (#111) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | UNH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.6% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.3% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 78.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.