Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +10 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -7.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.5 (-1.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -8.9 (+1.1) | 129.2 (-7.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -6.2 (+3.8) | 130.3 (-8.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -6.5 (+3.5) | 130.8 (-8.8) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -6.2 (+3.8) | 129.9 (-7.9) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2023 | SDSU 83 – 57 CSUF |
| Nov 8, 2022 | SDSU 80 – 57 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 13-4 | 11-4 |
| Home | 14-1 | 11-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 58.1 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#102) | 1.9 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.01 (#96) | 0.29 (#157) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.44 (#98) | 0.66 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#85) | 0.493 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | CSUF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.1% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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