Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HALL +4 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | HALL -5.0 (-1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HALL -4.5 (-0.5) | 132.8 (-8.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HALL -5.7 (-1.7) | 136.5 (-12.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HALL -5.3 (-1.3) | 135.0 (-11.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HALL -4.2 (-0.2) | 134.8 (-10.8) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HALL | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 11-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 16-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 60.6 |
| Massey | 14.7 (#16) | 14.4 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#27) | 2.04 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.05 (#20) | 3.04 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#34) | 0.601 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HALL | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 39.4% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 57.1% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.8% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 28.7% |
| DRB% | 79.6% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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