Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +11 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -9.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (+9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -8.7 (+2.3) | 144.6 (+8.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -8.7 (+2.3) | 143.3 (+9.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -7.8 (+3.2) | 146.0 (+7.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -8.5 (+2.5) | 145.3 (+7.7) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2020 | BYU 67 – 64 USU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | USU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 12.3 (#25) | 7.9 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.66 (#25) | 1.55 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.59 (#33) | 2.64 (#55) |
| RPI | 0.672 (#9) | 0.584 (#59) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | USU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 26.8% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.7% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 16.5% |
Game Analysis
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