Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | USU -104 BYU -112 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +3 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | USU -4.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USU -1.4 (-4.4) | 143.5 (-12.5) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USU -0.8 (-3.8) | 142.1 (-11.1) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USU -0.9 (-3.9) | 145.9 (-14.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USU -0.9 (-3.9) | 143.3 (-12.3) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2021 | BYU 82 – 71 USU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-9 | 20-7 |
| Conference | 15-4 | 10-3 |
| Home | 10-2 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-3 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.3 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#219) | -0.8 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#191) | 1.07 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#198) | 2.04 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#211) | 0.591 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USU | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 41.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 14.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.4% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 83.3% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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