Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +10 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -15.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -10.2 (-0.2) | 142.5 (-16.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -11.7 (-1.7) | 144.5 (-18.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -12.2 (-2.2) | 143.3 (-17.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -11.5 (-1.5) | 144.5 (-18.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 6-9 |
| Away | 8-5 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 73.1 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#133) | -8.7 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#94) | -1.72 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#93) | -2.81 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#87) | 0.434 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 13.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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