Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIUE +21 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | SIUE -6.6 (+14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -3.7 (+17.3) | 142.6 (-3.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -3.6 (+17.4) | 140.9 (-1.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -4.3 (+16.7) | 144.7 (-5.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -4.4 (+16.6) | 144.6 (-5.6) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2022 | PFW 81 – 76 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 15-6 |
| Home | 8-5 | 14-2 |
| Away | 3-13 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#266) | -7.3 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#288) | -1.14 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.84 (#315) | -2.14 (#292) |
| RPI | 0.422 (#286) | 0.424 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 26.3% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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