Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +3 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | CONN -8.1 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-36.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CONN -4.2 (+7.2) | 142.3 (-33.3) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CONN -2.6 (+5.6) | 144.8 (-35.8) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CONN -3.5 (+6.5) | 144.8 (-35.8) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CONN -3.7 (+6.7) | 149.1 (-40.1) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 13-6 |
| Home | 12-5 | 14-2 |
| Away | 1-11 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 65.3 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#90) | 17.7 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#55) | 2.81 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#62) | 4.32 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#70) | 0.563 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | CONN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 44.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 16.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 41.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 42.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 28.9% | 23.7% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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