Betting Lines
| Spread | SF -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SF +8 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | SF -10.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.1 (+10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SF -10.1 (-2.1) | 132.4 (+1.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SF -10.3 (-2.3) | 132.6 (+1.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SF -10.7 (-2.7) | 132.4 (+1.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SF -9.2 (-1.2) | 131.8 (+2.2) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2023 | SF 77 – 57 FRES |
| Nov 17, 2022 | SF 67 – 60 FRES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SF | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 8-9 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 7-2 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 59.6 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#45) | 3.4 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.68 (#9) | 1.13 (#92) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.89 (#12) | 1.51 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.647 (#21) | 0.532 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SF | FRES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.3% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 80.4% | 80.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.