Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Under |
| Money | WIS -190 IU +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +5 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -7.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -8.1 (-3.1) | 134.4 (-11.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -6.3 (-1.3) | 139.3 (-16.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -5.3 (-0.3) | 139.2 (-16.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -5.2 (-0.2) | 138.4 (-15.4) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | IU 78 – 77 WIS |
| Feb 5, 2025 | WIS 76 – 64 IU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | IU 74 – 70 WIS |
| Jan 20, 2024 | WIS 91 – 79 IU |
| Jan 14, 2023 | IU 63 – 45 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | IU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 9-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 9-2 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 12.1 (#27) | 9.4 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.43 (#11) | 1.37 (#78) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.49 (#16) | 2.06 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.682 (#7) | 0.597 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | IU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 49.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 40.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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