Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAMP +1 | 107 | Lost |
| Massey | W&M -3.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.7 (-21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | W&M -0.6 (-1.6) | 127.8 (-20.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -1.2 (-2.2) | 128.8 (-21.8) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -1.4 (-2.4) | 129.1 (-22.1) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -0.7 (-1.7) | 129.4 (-22.4) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | W&M 94 – 85 HAMP |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HAMP 77 – 74 W&M |
| Jan 23, 2025 | W&M 94 – 83 HAMP |
| Jan 17, 2025 | W&M 67 – 64 HAMP |
| Mar 2, 2024 | W&M 85 – 73 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Massey | -12.5 (#339) | -11.0 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.83 (#354) | -1.78 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.35 (#355) | -3.49 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.349 (#345) | 0.354 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.2% | 34.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 40.4% |
| TOV% | 24.8% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 19.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 30.3% |
Game Analysis
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