Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -19.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MVSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +15 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -17.1 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+33.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -10.8 (-4.2) | 145.7 (+29.3) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -8.2 (-6.8) | 140.4 (+34.6) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -8.3 (-6.7) | 142.0 (+33.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -7.5 (-7.5) | 151.4 (+23.6) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2021 | NICH 104 – 73 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MVSU | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-26 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 11-3 |
| Home | 0-11 | 11-1 |
| Away | 2-15 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.0 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -23.5 (#359) | -1.7 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#312) | 0.26 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.92 (#317) | 0.45 (#149) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#264) | 0.539 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MVSU | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 31.0% | 38.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.0% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 35.6% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 18.3% | 13.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 61.3% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 61.2% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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