Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -24.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +31 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -27.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (+25.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -21.3 (+9.7) | 153.7 (+23.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -21.1 (+9.9) | 150.4 (+26.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -25.9 (+5.1) | 151.3 (+25.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -25.2 (+5.8) | 150.4 (+26.6) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2021 | NICH 95 – 80 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 2-26 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 2-16 |
| Home | 11-1 | 0-11 |
| Away | 7-8 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 83.0 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#167) | -22.2 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#122) | -2.74 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#117) | -3.76 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#86) | 0.398 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 34.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 25.6% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 38.9% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 12.0% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 62.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 64.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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