Betting Lines
| Spread | FOR -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +16 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | FOR -12.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FOR -11.8 (+4.2) | 147.4 (-17.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | FOR -8.0 (+8.0) | 145.5 (-15.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | FOR -10.3 (+5.7) | 146.4 (-16.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FOR -11.1 (+4.9) | 145.9 (-15.9) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2025 | FOR 69 – 53 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-1 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.8 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 0.0 (#171) | -7.4 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#194) | -2.30 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#184) | -2.97 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#212) | 0.427 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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