Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +28 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -12.0 (+16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (-32.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -11.4 (+16.6) | 144.0 (-30.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -7.7 (+20.3) | 138.0 (-24.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -11.0 (+17.0) | 144.2 (-30.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -10.4 (+17.6) | 145.1 (-31.1) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 8, 2022 | YSU 92 – 81 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 12-9 | 7-13 |
| Home | 13-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-8 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#188) | -7.6 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#242) | -2.23 (#324) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#247) | -3.39 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#272) | 0.421 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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