Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +12 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -8.9 (+20.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+16.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -4.8 (+16.8) | 139.2 (+14.8) | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -4.9 (+16.9) | 139.1 (+14.9) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -5.0 (+17.0) | 139.6 (+14.4) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -4.8 (+16.8) | 140.8 (+13.2) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2022 | BYU 83 – 80 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 12-7 | 9-6 |
| Home | 11-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#109) | 12.6 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.03 (#48) | 2.64 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.99 (#46) | 3.49 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#63) | 0.679 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | BYU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 41.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 42.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.0% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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