He just grinned and shook my hand, "No" was all he said. "The Weight" - The Band
BYU Cougars
83 – 80
FINAL Neutral
Creighton Bluejays
Michelob ULTRA Arena (Neutral) · December 11, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread CREI -9.5 Home covered
O/U 143.5 Over
Money BYU +450 / CREI -500
Model Predictions
Spread Total BYU win
Actual BYU +3 163 Won
Massey CREI -13.9 (+16.9) — —
Massey Totals — 149.2 (+13.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 9% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 6% ✗
Baseline Plus ML CREI -10.7 (+13.7) 146.4 (+16.6) 22% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CREI -9.7 (+12.7) 145.5 (+17.5) 23% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML CREI -10.2 (+13.2) 146.5 (+16.5) 19% ✗
Baseline ML CREI -9.7 (+12.7) 145.8 (+17.2) 22% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 11, 2021 CREI 83 – 71 BYU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BYU CREI
Overall 19-15 24-13
Conference 7-9 14-6
Home 12-4 13-2
Away 2-7 5-6
Neutral 4-4 6-5
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.1 76.4
Avg Pts Against 70.1 68.4
Massey -1.8 (#206) 12.1 (#32)
Bradley-Terry -0.70 (#245) 1.58 (#69)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.66 (#226) 2.08 (#73)
RPI 0.446 (#259) 0.600 (#49)
Shooting & Four Factors BYU CREI
FG% 41.4% 47.6%
3PT% 28.6% 33.3%
REB / G 40.1 38.9
OREB / G 13.3 9.4
AST / TO 0.82 1.53
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.7% 54.8%
TOV% 22.2% 14.9%
ORB% 34.6% 27.0%
FT Rate 22.7% 17.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.6% 48.9%
Opp TOV% 20.2% 15.1%
DRB% 74.4% 80.5%
Opp FT Rate 26.7% 8.6%

Game Analysis

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