Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -2.0 Push |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +2 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | LAS -3.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAS -2.2 (-0.2) | 143.3 (+6.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -2.8 (-0.8) | 141.4 (+8.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -2.4 (-0.4) | 142.4 (+7.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAS -2.7 (-0.7) | 144.0 (+6.0) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2025 | PENN 73 – 71 LAS |
| Dec 2, 2023 | LAS 93 – 92 PENN |
| Dec 3, 2022 | LAS 84 – 81 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 12-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-5 |
| Home | 8-7 | 6-3 |
| Away | 2-10 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#256) | -2.7 (#227) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#288) | -0.57 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.73 (#312) | -0.70 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.404 (#306) | 0.482 (#209) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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