Betting Lines
| Spread | PENN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | PENN -130 LAS +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +2 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | PENN -9.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PENN -4.8 (-2.8) | 141.6 (+2.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PENN -6.9 (-4.9) | 140.6 (+3.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PENN -7.6 (-5.6) | 140.2 (+3.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PENN -7.4 (-5.4) | 139.0 (+5.0) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 2, 2023 | LAS 93 – 92 PENN |
| Dec 3, 2022 | LAS 84 – 81 PENN |
| Dec 11, 2021 | LAS 76 – 74 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PENN | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-12 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#189) | -5.2 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#166) | -1.09 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#162) | -1.52 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#193) | 0.430 (#285) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PENN | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.6% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.8% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 15.9% |
Game Analysis
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