Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -5.0 Push |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +5 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | SDAK -3.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -3.2 (+1.8) | 139.7 (+7.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -3.0 (+2.0) | 141.2 (+5.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -3.4 (+1.6) | 139.8 (+7.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -4.1 (+0.9) | 135.5 (+11.5) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | NAU 95 – 82 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-15 |
| Home | 12-4 | 5-10 |
| Away | 6-7 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#305) | -6.8 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#223) | -0.60 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.88 (#238) | -0.67 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#263) | 0.462 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.58 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 24.3% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 78.9% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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