Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +4 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | TA&M -1.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -1.7 (-5.7) | 131.2 (+0.8) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -1.7 (-5.7) | 131.4 (+0.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -1.2 (-5.2) | 132.4 (-0.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -0.6 (-4.6) | 132.4 (-0.4) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2020 | TCU 73 – 55 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-13 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 16-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 6.8 (#66) | 5.5 (#82) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#24) | 1.48 (#69) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.59 (#27) | 1.68 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#48) | 0.586 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 43.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 15.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 40.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.9% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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