Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Under |
| Money | TCU -105 TA&M -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +18 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -4.3 (+22.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -3.2 (+21.2) | 133.6 (-5.6) | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -2.9 (+20.9) | 132.3 (-4.3) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -0.4 (+18.4) | 133.9 (-5.9) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -2.7 (+20.7) | 134.2 (-6.2) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2021 | TCU 68 – 64 TA&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-14 | 8-10 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 2-8 |
| Home | 6-7 | 6-4 |
| Away | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L4 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 66.9 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#175) | 2.8 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#173) | 1.40 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#189) | 1.94 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#205) | 0.537 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 25.3% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 43.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 28.2% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.1% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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