Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -9.0 Push |
| O/U | 149.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +9 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | LT -12.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -13.0 (-4.0) | 151.9 (-4.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -10.8 (-1.8) | 150.3 (-3.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -12.8 (-3.8) | 150.9 (-3.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -12.6 (-3.6) | 152.2 (-5.2) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | LT 65 – 44 UL |
| Dec 8, 2024 | LT 69 – 58 UL |
| Dec 9, 2023 | LT 72 – 67 UL |
| Nov 18, 2022 | UL 94 – 88 LT |
| Dec 13, 2020 | UL 61 – 56 LT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | UL |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#94) | -3.0 (#235) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#64) | -0.21 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#75) | -0.01 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#61) | 0.453 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | UL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 42.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 43.3% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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