Hop in my Chrysler, it's as big as a whale and it's about to set sail. "Love Shack" - The B-52's
McGuirk Arena · December 11, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread UIC -5.5 Home covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total CMU win
Actual UIC +4 138 Lost
Massey UIC -6.5 (+2.5) — —
Massey Totals — 148.0 (-10.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 57% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 44% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UIC -7.3 (+3.3) 143.0 (-5.0) 24% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UIC -4.7 (+0.7) 146.0 (-8.0) 32% ✓
Baseline ML UIC -4.0 (+0.0) 145.8 (-7.8) 26% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UIC -4.9 (+0.9) 146.0 (-8.0) 28% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 29, 2020 UIC 74 – 72 CMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CMU UIC
Overall 7-23 14-16
Conference 6-12 9-10
Home 2-9 6-6
Away 5-11 8-8
Neutral 0-3 0-2
Last 5 0-5 0-5
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 65.9 71.3
Avg Pts Against 77.0 73.7
Massey -14.6 (#348) -3.3 (#244)
Bradley-Terry -2.32 (#328) -1.74 (#302)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.45 (#331) -2.19 (#292)
RPI 0.439 (#264) 0.395 (#318)
Shooting & Four Factors CMU UIC
FG% 41.3% 42.1%
3PT% 38.1% 30.7%
REB / G 29.2 31.9
OREB / G 7.0 8.4
AST / TO 0.73 1.18
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.0% 49.3%
TOV% 21.8% 17.6%
ORB% 20.2% 23.5%
FT Rate 15.4% 7.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 58.2% 52.5%
Opp TOV% 16.0% 16.5%
DRB% 66.0% 73.2%
Opp FT Rate 24.5% 29.1%

Game Analysis

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