Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +10 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | DRKE -0.5 (+10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (+30.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -0.2 (+9.8) | 134.8 (+35.2) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -0.6 (+9.4) | 140.0 (+30.0) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -1.4 (+8.6) | 139.8 (+30.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DRKE -0.2 (+10.2) | 137.3 (+32.7) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-6 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#75) | 6.7 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#109) | 0.28 (#159) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#105) | 0.62 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#86) | 0.513 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | DRKE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 41.8% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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