Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -8.0 Push |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +8 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -9.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-9.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -7.0 (+1.0) | 145.0 (-7.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -8.7 (-0.7) | 141.2 (-3.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -7.2 (+0.8) | 146.7 (-8.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -8.0 (-0.0) | 147.0 (-9.0) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2022 | FUR 65 – 61 APP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | APP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 8-8 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 65.3 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#97) | -0.1 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#83) | -0.18 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#97) | 0.23 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.562 (#77) | 0.492 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | APP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 7.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 79.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 18.1% |
Game Analysis
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