Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 121.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +12 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | BTLR -25.9 (-13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 113.4 (+6.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BTLR -19.6 (-7.6) | 125.8 (-5.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -18.9 (-6.9) | 126.8 (-6.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -20.1 (-8.1) | 123.3 (-3.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BTLR -20.3 (-8.3) | 124.5 (-4.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2024 | BTLR 73 – 58 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 3-15 |
| Home | 9-7 | 4-9 |
| Away | 3-8 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 54.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#150) | -19.8 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#79) | -4.77 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.17 (#67) | -6.09 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#124) | 0.265 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 34.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 39.8% |
| TOV% | 24.6% | 25.7% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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