Betting Lines
| Spread | BUT -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | BUT -5000 EIU +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUT +15 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | BUT -24.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUT -22.7 (-7.7) | 139.7 (-8.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUT -21.4 (-6.4) | 140.5 (-9.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUT -19.3 (-4.3) | 140.6 (-9.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUT -22.3 (-7.3) | 139.7 (-8.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2021 | BUT 66 – 54 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUT | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-8 | 7-7 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 63.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 9.9 (#59) | -9.2 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#53) | -1.39 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.67 (#32) | -2.27 (#296) |
| RPI | 0.632 (#27) | 0.467 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUT | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 42.7% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 38.5% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.5% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.6% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 34.0% |
Game Analysis
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