Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +37 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -17.7 (+19.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (+13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -16.1 (+20.9) | 140.4 (+16.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -15.7 (+21.3) | 145.3 (+11.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -18.0 (+19.0) | 143.2 (+13.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -17.9 (+19.1) | 141.9 (+15.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 8-19 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 5-4 |
| Away | 9-3 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.0 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#73) | -6.6 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#110) | -1.76 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#94) | -2.29 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#94) | 0.480 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 28.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 15.3% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 58.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 78.1% | 58.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 36.3% |
Game Analysis
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