Betting Lines
| Spread | DETM -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +19 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | DETM -15.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DETM -12.2 (+6.8) | 144.4 (+2.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DETM -11.4 (+7.6) | 146.0 (+1.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DETM -12.3 (+6.7) | 146.0 (+1.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -12.3 (+6.7) | 142.8 (+4.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2020 | DETM 67 – 57 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 4-16 |
| Home | 9-1 | 4-10 |
| Away | 5-15 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#205) | -11.7 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#227) | -0.93 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#228) | -1.80 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#217) | 0.472 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 55.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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