But where the fuck is the waitress at with my drinks! "Stand Up" - Ludacris
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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52–18 on winners spread MAE 8.7 70 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Iowa @ TCU -9.9 150.6 17% 66–79 ✗
San Diego @ Nicholls -8.3 156.9 21% 70–72 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Montana State -3.2 139.7 33% 70–53 ✓
UIC @ Green Bay -3.3 137.5 33% 78–64 ✓
Murray State @ Chattanooga +1.1 143.8 46% 66–69 ✓
Morehead State @ Marshall +19.2 140.6 90% 59–83 ✓
American University @ Saint Francis -0.3 140.5 43% 66–55 ✓
East Carolina @ Old Dominion +4.1 145.3 64% 50–71 ✓
North Dakota State @ New Mexico +18.8 151.6 90% 55–76 ✓
Fairfield @ Mercer +0.5 142.2 53% 58–60 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Kansas City +4.4 138.7 68% 64–54 ✗
Central Michigan @ California Baptist +4.9 137.4 66% 61–77 ✓
Long Beach State @ North Texas +0.6 129.6 54% 47–68 ✓
St. Thomas @ Utah +10.3 137.6 80% 66–95 ✓
Chicago State @ Marquette +21.0 154.6 91% 68–82 ✓
New Mexico State @ UC Irvine +2.5 134.5 58% 68–85 ✓
Southern Utah @ Sacramento State +1.0 142.1 54% 91–87 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Northern Colorado -3.2 140.8 36% 82–86 ✗
Texas State @ Hawai'i +2.4 130.6 62% 65–72 ✓
Iona @ Santa Clara -7.8 138.6 22% 76–86 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ UNC Greensboro -1.7 135.1 43% 75–58 ✓
Stanford @ Memphis +4.6 136.6 71% 48–56 ✓
Valparaiso @ James Madison +15.7 142.4 86% 81–79 ✗
Oakland @ Missouri State +12.3 146.2 85% 64–76 ✓
Rhode Island @ Boston College +7.9 131.6 78% 49–53 ✓
Stetson @ Campbell +6.8 136.8 75% 85–87 ✓
Stonehill @ UMass Lowell +16.5 155.4 88% 59–73 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ UC Davis -0.6 142.7 49% 71–73 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Georgia +6.9 139.5 72% 47–62 ✓
Montana State @ Middle Tennessee +2.4 130.2 61% 71–72 ✓
Harvard @ Fordham +5.8 134.7 71% 60–68 ✓
Ole Miss @ Oklahoma +1.9 129.5 56% 55–59 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Northern Kentucky +4.1 137.6 64% 77–85 ✓
Radford @ Elon -7.0 141.9 24% 69–53 ✓
Wagner @ NJIT +2.9 131.6 59% 62–57 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ North Dakota +0.4 145.6 49% 57–73 ✓
Belmont @ Georgia State +1.9 140.5 55% 68–66 ✗
Drexel @ Temple +3.4 136.7 59% 61–73 ✓
Alabama State @ Ohio +15.2 146.7 88% 58–72 ✓
Northwestern State @ Bethune-Cookman -5.6 136.5 27% 69–66 ✓
UC San Diego @ Eastern Michigan +1.3 148.0 49% 66–63 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Saint Peter's +7.1 151.7 73% 63–77 ✓
Maine @ Brown -4.1 139.8 27% 63–70 ✗
Hartford @ Colgate +15.0 144.8 87% 58–92 ✓
South Alabama @ Robert Morris -8.2 130.3 22% 84–70 ✓
Canisius @ Buffalo +3.6 150.7 63% 66–86 ✓
San José State @ Ball State +2.6 139.4 63% 67–65 ✗
Saint Louis @ Auburn +10.6 145.8 81% 60–65 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Oklahoma State +5.6 143.3 70% 53–78 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Northern Arizona +8.9 138.3 80% 92–82 ✗
Lamar @ SMU +7.0 141.7 72% 50–75 ✓
Montana @ Air Force +4.3 132.6 64% 56–59 ✓
Villanova @ Oregon +1.9 138.7 58% 67–74 ✓
Wofford @ LSU +13.3 142.0 85% 75–78 ✓
Yale @ Colorado +3.9 140.3 56% 62–65 ✓
North Carolina @ Alabama +4.8 151.1 66% 101–103 ✓
Duke @ Purdue +2.3 130.1 62% 56–75 ✓
Boston University @ Milwaukee +2.6 142.5 59% 46–67 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Hofstra -0.6 143.8 43% 70–72 ✗
Delaware @ Pennsylvania +5.2 145.5 73% 73–86 ✓
Idaho State @ Central Arkansas +3.2 141.2 58% 77–81 ✓
Towson @ Mercer -4.6 139.2 29% 70–60 ✓
North Dakota State @ Jacksonville State +5.5 140.1 71% 71–81 ✓
Siena @ Seton Hall +8.1 139.2 79% 60–55 ✗
Alcorn State @ Arizona State +11.2 136.4 81% 54–76 ✓
Miami @ UCF +7.6 137.0 71% 66–64 ✗
Portland @ Michigan State +1.3 145.3 56% 77–78 ✓
Long Beach State @ Vermont -0.1 138.5 49% 78–58 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Florida International +4.8 145.1 67% 79–90 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Grambling +5.0 136.5 72% 63–61 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.