Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | MRSH -700 MORE +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +24 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -22.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (+5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -20.6 (+3.4) | 141.8 (+0.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -20.4 (+3.6) | 140.6 (+1.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -19.2 (+4.8) | 140.6 (+1.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -13.6 (+10.4) | 139.8 (+2.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2024 | MRSH 80 – 77 MORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-8 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 14-4 |
| Home | 15-2 | 14-2 |
| Away | 9-5 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.2 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#53) | -7.0 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#127) | -0.44 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#124) | -0.95 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#127) | 0.481 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 33.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 23.1% |
| REB / G | 44.2 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 16.8 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.91 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 38.5% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 40.4% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 9.4% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.