Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | MRSH -800 MORE +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +3 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -15.8 (-12.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (+12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -12.3 (-9.3) | 140.0 (+17.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -11.3 (-8.3) | 140.4 (+16.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -11.8 (-8.8) | 140.2 (+16.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -9.6 (-6.6) | 140.9 (+16.1) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2022 | MRSH 83 – 59 MORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-9 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 63.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -0.5 (#167) | -11.3 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#240) | -0.55 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#231) | -1.79 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#242) | 0.460 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 27.9% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 12.5% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 40.9% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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