Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | COLO -350 YALE +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +3 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -3.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -3.4 (-0.4) | 141.7 (-14.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -4.5 (-1.5) | 139.1 (-12.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -3.9 (-0.9) | 140.3 (-13.3) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -2.7 (+0.3) | 140.4 (-13.4) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-4 |
| Home | 13-5 | 10-1 |
| Away | 2-9 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 64.3 |
| Massey | 8.9 (#49) | 11.8 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#75) | 3.44 (#9) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#72) | 5.24 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.619 (#47) | 0.616 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 39.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 78.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.