Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | LSU -700 WOF +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +3 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -13.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -13.4 (-10.4) | 142.7 (+10.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -11.6 (-8.6) | 138.9 (+14.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -13.3 (-10.3) | 142.0 (+11.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -14.9 (-11.9) | 142.0 (+11.0) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 8-10 |
| Home | 10-8 | 12-4 |
| Away | 0-9 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#71) | -0.7 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#40) | 0.21 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.02 (#27) | -0.06 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#75) | 0.494 (#185) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 12.4% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.8% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.1% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 16.6% |
Game Analysis
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