Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | SCU +138 IONA -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +10 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -11.5 (+21.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (+28.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -8.6 (+18.6) | 137.7 (+24.3) | 24% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -8.0 (+18.0) | 137.2 (+24.8) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -7.8 (+17.8) | 138.6 (+23.4) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -7.5 (+17.5) | 138.7 (+23.3) | 23% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 17-3 |
| Home | 14-4 | 11-1 |
| Away | 6-3 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 8-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#184) | 11.2 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#169) | 1.57 (#70) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#170) | 2.74 (#66) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#66) | 0.589 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 44.2 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 2.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.6% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 11.0% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 11.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 82.1% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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