Betting Lines
| Spread | BC -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | BC -275 URI +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +4 | 102 | Won |
| Massey | BC -11.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.5 (-23.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -9.0 (-5.0) | 129.9 (-27.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BC -7.1 (-3.1) | 128.9 (-26.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -7.9 (-3.9) | 131.6 (-29.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BC -8.8 (-4.8) | 131.5 (-29.5) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2021 | URI 71 – 65 BC |
| Nov 17, 2021 | URI 57 – 49 BC |
| Nov 27, 2020 | BC 69 – 64 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-7 | 7-9 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#186) | -5.3 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#157) | -1.39 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#161) | -1.96 (#279) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#104) | 0.440 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 25.5% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 15.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 42.5% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 40.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 32.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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