I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
Thomas M. Ryan Center · November 17, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread URI -5.0 Home covered
O/U 134.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total URI win
Actual URI +8 106 Won
Massey URI -3.4 (+4.6) — —
Massey Totals — 133.8 (-27.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 80% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 82% ✓
Baseline ML URI -3.5 (+4.5) 136.4 (-30.4) 59% ✓
Baseline Plus ML URI -3.8 (+4.2) 137.1 (-31.1) 53% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML URI -3.3 (+4.7) 138.5 (-32.5) 57% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 27, 2022 BC 53 – 49 URI
Nov 21, 2021 URI 71 – 65 BC
Nov 27, 2020 BC 69 – 64 URI

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings URI BC
Overall 15-16 13-20
Conference 5-12 6-14
Home 10-5 9-7
Away 3-9 2-10
Neutral 2-2 2-3
Last 5 2-0 3-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.0 66.9
Avg Pts Against 65.3 68.1
Massey 0.6 (#160) 7.6 (#46)
Bradley-Terry 0.76 (#99) 1.39 (#43)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.03 (#106) 2.06 (#44)
RPI 0.500 (#159) 0.625 (#81)
Shooting & Four Factors URI BC
FG% 49.5% 53.2%
3PT% 36.8% 39.0%
REB / G 44.0 34.7
OREB / G 11.5 8.0
AST / TO 0.67 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.9% 58.2%
TOV% 24.6% 17.6%
ORB% 37.7% 26.7%
FT Rate 41.0% 29.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 38.3% 46.6%
Opp TOV% 20.5% 20.9%
DRB% 70.7% 76.9%
Opp FT Rate 25.0% 16.1%

Game Analysis

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