Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | URI -160 BC +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +6 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | BC -2.1 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.4 (+11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -3.1 (+9.1) | 130.6 (+5.4) | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BC -0.4 (+6.4) | 128.7 (+7.3) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -1.3 (+7.3) | 130.3 (+5.7) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BC -1.7 (+7.7) | 131.0 (+5.0) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2022 | BC 53 – 49 URI |
| Nov 17, 2021 | URI 57 – 49 BC |
| Nov 27, 2020 | BC 69 – 64 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | BC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 5-12 | 6-14 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 3-9 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#106) | 6.2 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#70) | 0.77 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#62) | 1.88 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#82) | 0.588 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | BC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 24.0% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 37.8% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 35.0% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 79.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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